Political forecaster available to discuss November election

Voting booths.

James Campbell expects voters to favor Republicans at the polls next month.

GOP may gain eight Senate seats, while House Democrats could lose 16 seats and near lowest point since the 1930s, Campbell predicts

By Marcene Robinson

Release Date: October 27, 2014 This content is archived.

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James Campbell.
“If the forecasts hold, Democrats will be near their low point in the House since the 1930s and there will be a Republican majority in the Senate for the remainder of President Obama’s second term. ”
James Campbell, UB Distinguished Professor and Chair of Political Science
University at Buffalo

BUFFALO, N.Y. – James Campbell, a nationally known political forecaster from the University at Buffalo, is available to discuss the November congressional midterm elections.

James E. Campbell, PhD
UB Distinguished Professor and Chair of Political Science
University at Buffalo
jcampbel@buffalo.edu

To reach Campbell, contact Marcene Robinson in University Communications at 716-645-4595.

Campbell can discuss campaigns, political parties, presidential-congressional relations and election forecasting.

He predicts that Republicans will take both the House and Senate.

His research is based on a forecasting model that successfully predicted the outcomes of the 2010 midterm and 2012 House elections. This year, he applied the model to the Senate race as well.

“My models predict that Democrats will lose about 16 seats in the House and eight seats in the Senate,” says Campbell. “If the forecasts hold, Democrats will be near their low point in the House since the 1930s and there will be a Republican majority in the Senate for the remainder of President Obama’s second term.”

The details of his forecasts appeared in the October issue of PS: Political Science and Politics, a publication of the American Political Science Association.

Media Contact Information

Marcene Robinson is a former staff writer in University Communications. To contact UB's media relations staff, email ub-news@buffalo.edu or visit our list of current university media contacts.