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Questions &Answers

Published: March 23, 2006
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John Welte is a senior research scientist at UB's Research Institute on Addictions and an expert on the prevalence of problem gambling.

Is the prevalence of NCAA basketball office pools a sign of a growing cultural acceptance of gambling?
I don't think there's any doubt that there's a growing cultural approval of gambling. The spread of casinos is the best example of this. There's a growing normalization of gambling, a growing insertion of gambling, in our daily lives. For the vast majority of people who participate in NCAA office pools, it's harmless fun. If you look at the prevalence of problem gambling, you're talking about a very small percentage of the population. However, I do believe the prevalence of problem gambling is growing and I believe the increased saturation of the environment by gambling contributes to the growth of gambling problems for some people.

Could participation in an NCAA office pool lead to problem gambling?
I believe that a lot of what is considered "small potatoes" gambling is innocuous for a vast majority of the population, but I don't believe that any of it is innocuous for everyone. We know that there are individual characteristics that make people predisposed to problem gambling. For example, if a person has a substance-abuse disorder, he or she is much more predisposed to have a gambling problem; but I also believe that problem gambling is an interaction between people's individual characteristics and their environment. Among people who are vulnerable to gambling, a few more get pushed over the line as the gambling builds up in their environment. I'm not saying that the easy availability of gambling is going to make everyone a problem gambler—the vast majority of people would never be problem gamblers no matter how much access they had to gambling. But I am saying a few people will be pushed over the line and the prevalence of gambling is going to get higher. The same principles apply if you turn on the TV and see people playing poker, if you go to the office and see people filling out NCAA pools or if you go down the street and see people in a casino. The research shows the more access people have to gambling, the more likely there will be an increase in the prevalence of problem gambling.

There are now several casinos within an easy drive of the Buffalo metro area, with another one planned for downtown Buffalo. So, does this mean we're going to see more problem gambling in Western New York?
Absolutely. In a national study I conducted in 2000, I found that individuals who lived within 10 miles of a casino were twice as likely to be problem gamblers as those who did not live near a casino. This is a highly significant statistic. In my opinion, the availability of casinos leads to more problem gambling. Of course this doesn't prove that casinos cause it, but I think it's reasonable to say that if you make gambling more available, you'll get more problem gamblers.

Are NCAA basketball pools an invitation to teens and college students to become more serious gamblers?
Poker may be the most popular form of gambling among young people right now. I'm currently conducting a national survey of youth gambling. The preliminary results show that gambling on cards is the most popular form of gambling among people ages 14 to 21 in this country. If a teenager's family and friends approve of gambling, then those teens are more likely to be problem gamblers, research shows. It's easier to become a problem gambler if the people around you don't express disapproval of gambling. This is what is known as social availability to gambling.

What are the goals of this study of youth gambling?
There are two goals. The first is to determine how much problem and pathological gambling there is among young people. The second goal is to determine if there is any relationship between youth gambling and state gambling laws and the type of neighborhoods youth live in.